NFLComputerPicksArizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys: prediction & pick
When Arizona Cardinals and Dallas Cowboys meet, our simulation gives the edge to Dallas Cowboys. Our projection has DAL favored by roughly 4.5 points, a win probability near 64%, and a projected final of ARI 21 – DAL 25.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -10.5 on DAL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is ARI +10.5, an edge of about 6.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 46.0 combined points versus a market number of 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 1.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of ARI 21 – DAL 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 86% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.