Week 1 · Sun, Nov 22 · 6:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers and it likes Baltimore Ravens. Our projection has BAL favored by roughly 7.0 points, a win probability near 71%, and a projected final of BAL 27 – CAR 20.

Against the spread

The market opened at 4.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is BAL -4.5, an edge of about 2.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 46.0 points against the posted 46.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of BAL 27 – CAR 20, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 65% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.