Week 1 · Fri, Jan 1 · 1:15 AM ET

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals: prediction & pick

Baltimore Ravens visit Cincinnati Bengals with the model leaning toward Baltimore Ravens. Our projection has BAL favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of BAL 25 – CIN 24.

Against the spread

The market opened at -2.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is BAL +2.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 48.0 points while the book has hung 51.5. That points to the Under 51.5, with about 3.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of BAL 25 – CIN 24, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 71% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.