Week 1 · Tue, Nov 3 · 1:20 AM ET

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks and it likes Seattle Seahawks. Our projection has SEA favored by roughly 3.5 points, a win probability near 61%, and a projected final of CHI 20 – SEA 24.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -4.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CHI +4.5, an edge of about 1.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 44.0 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 3.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of CHI 20 – SEA 24, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 71% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.