Week 1 · Sun, Oct 25 · 5:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens and it likes Baltimore Ravens. Our projection has BAL favored by roughly 5.0 points, a win probability near 66%, and a projected final of CIN 22 – BAL 27.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -3.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BAL -3.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 48.0 points while the book has hung 51.5. That points to the Under 51.5, with about 3.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of CIN 22 – BAL 27, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 71% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.