Week 1 · Sun, Dec 27 · 6:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts and it likes Cincinnati Bengals. Our projection has CIN favored by roughly 1.5 points, a win probability near 55%, and a projected final of CIN 24 – IND 23.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is IND +1.5, an edge of about 0.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 46.5 combined points versus a market number of 52.5. That points to the Under 52.5, with about 6.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of CIN 24 – IND 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 86% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.