NFLComputerPicksCincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins: prediction & pick
When Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins meet, our simulation gives the edge to Cincinnati Bengals. Our projection has CIN favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of CIN 25 – MIA 24.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at 6 on MIA, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MIA +6, an edge of about 5.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 48.5 points against the posted 49.5. That points to the Under 49.5, with about 1.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of CIN 25 – MIA 24, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 83% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.