NFLComputerPicksDallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams: prediction & pick
Dallas Cowboys visit Los Angeles Rams with the model leaning toward Los Angeles Rams. Our projection has LAR favored by roughly 2.0 points, a win probability near 56%, and a projected final of DAL 22 – LAR 24.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -6 on LAR, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DAL +6, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 46.0 points while the book has hung 52.5. That points to the Under 52.5, with about 6.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DAL 22 – LAR 24, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 88% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.