NFLComputerPicksDenver Broncos vs New York Jets: prediction & pick
When Denver Broncos and New York Jets meet, our simulation gives the edge to New York Jets. Our projection has NYJ favored by roughly 0.0 points, a win probability near 50%, and a projected final of DEN 22 – NYJ 22.
Against the spread
The market opened at 5.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is NYJ +5.5, an edge of about 5.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 43.0 combined points versus a market number of 39.5. That points to the Over 39.5, with about 3.5 points of over edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DEN 22 – NYJ 22, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 83% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.