NFLComputerPicksDetroit Lions vs Chicago Bears: prediction & pick
Detroit Lions visit Chicago Bears with the model leaning toward Detroit Lions. Our projection has DET favored by roughly 3.0 points, a win probability near 60%, and a projected final of DET 25 – CHI 22.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -1.5 on CHI, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DET +1.5, an edge of about 4.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 47.0 points while the book has hung 49.5. That points to the Under 49.5, with about 2.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DET 25 – CHI 22, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 77% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.