Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals: prediction & pick
Jacksonville Jaguars visit Cincinnati Bengals with the model leaning toward Cincinnati Bengals. Our projection has CIN favored by roughly 5.5 points, a win probability near 67%, and a projected final of JAX 21 – CIN 26.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -2.5 on CIN, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is CIN -2.5, an edge of about 3.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 46.5 combined points versus a market number of 51.5. That points to the Under 51.5, with about 5.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of JAX 21 – CIN 26, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 80% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.