Week 1 · Sun, Nov 15 · 9:05 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals: prediction & pick

Los Angeles Rams visit Arizona Cardinals with the model leaning toward Los Angeles Rams. Our projection has LAR favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of LAR 23 – ARI 23.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 10.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ARI +10.5, an edge of about 10.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 45.5 combined points versus a market number of 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 2.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of LAR 23 – ARI 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 88% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.