Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos: prediction & pick

Los Angeles Rams visit Denver Broncos with the model leaning toward Denver Broncos. Our projection has DEN favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of LAR 22 – DEN 23.

Against the spread

The market opened at 3 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is DEN +3, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 44.5 combined points versus a market number of 45.5. That points to the Under 45.5, with about 1.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of LAR 22 – DEN 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 71% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.