NFLComputerPicksMiami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts: prediction & pick
When Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts meet, our simulation gives the edge to Indianapolis Colts. Our projection has IND favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of MIA 23 – IND 24.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -6.5 on IND, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MIA +6.5, an edge of about 5.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 46.5 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 1.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MIA 23 – IND 24, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 83% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.