Week 1 · Sun, Dec 13 · 9:25 PM ET

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks: prediction & pick

When New York Giants and Seattle Seahawks meet, our simulation gives the edge to Seattle Seahawks. Our projection has SEA favored by roughly 6.5 points, a win probability near 70%, and a projected final of NYG 19 – SEA 25.

Against the spread

The market opened at -7.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is NYG +7.5, an edge of about 1.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 44.0 points against the posted 45.5. That points to the Under 45.5, with about 1.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of NYG 19 – SEA 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 59% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.