Week 1 · Sun, Dec 6 · 9:05 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals: prediction & pick

When Philadelphia Eagles and Arizona Cardinals meet, our simulation gives the edge to Philadelphia Eagles. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 4.5 points, a win probability near 64%, and a projected final of PHI 25 – ARI 21.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 8.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ARI +8.5, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 46.0 points against the posted 43.5. That points to the Over 43.5, with about 2.5 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of PHI 25 – ARI 21, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 74% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.