Week 1 · Sun, Sep 20 · 5:00 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans and it likes Philadelphia Eagles. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 8.5 points, a win probability near 75%, and a projected final of PHI 27 – TEN 18.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 4.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is PHI -4.5, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 44.5 points against the posted 42.5. That points to the Over 42.5, with about 2.0 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of PHI 27 – TEN 18, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 74% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.