Week 1 · Sun, Nov 15 · 9:05 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders: prediction & pick

Seattle Seahawks visit Las Vegas Raiders with the model leaning toward Seattle Seahawks. Our projection has SEA favored by roughly 1.5 points, a win probability near 55%, and a projected final of SEA 23 – LV 21.

Against the spread

The market opened at 7 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is LV +7, an edge of about 5.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 44.0 combined points versus a market number of 43.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of SEA 23 – LV 21, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 83% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.