Week 1 · Sat, Dec 19 · 10:00 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles: prediction & pick

Philadelphia Eagles host Seattle Seahawks in a matchup where the model sides with Philadelphia Eagles. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 7.5 points, a win probability near 73%, and a projected final of SEA 19 – PHI 27.

Against the spread

The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is PHI -1.5, an edge of about 6.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 45.5 combined points versus a market number of 43.5. That points to the Over 43.5, with about 2.0 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of SEA 19 – PHI 27, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 86% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.