NFLComputerPicksTennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: prediction & pick
The model has run the numbers on Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars and it likes Jacksonville Jaguars. Our projection has JAX favored by roughly 5.5 points, a win probability near 67%, and a projected final of TEN 19 – JAX 25.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -5.5 on JAX, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is JAX -5.5, an edge of about 0.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 43.5 points while the book has hung 45.5. That points to the Under 45.5, with about 2.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of TEN 19 – JAX 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 62% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.