Week 1 · Sun, Dec 27 · 6:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders and it likes Las Vegas Raiders. Our projection has LV favored by roughly 3.5 points, a win probability near 61%, and a projected final of TEN 20 – LV 23.

Against the spread

Where the book sits at -1.5 on LV, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is LV -1.5, an edge of about 2.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 43.0 combined points versus a market number of 42.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of TEN 20 – LV 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 62% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.