NFLComputerPicksWashington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals: prediction & pick
Washington Commanders visit Arizona Cardinals with the model leaning toward Arizona Cardinals. Our projection has ARI favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of WAS 23 – ARI 23.
Against the spread
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 4.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is ARI +4.5, an edge of about 5.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 46.0 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 1.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of WAS 23 – ARI 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 80% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.